Deal Flow

The thesis, the target profile, and a live pipeline, most of it off-market.

Part of Find, the deal desk. Deal Flow is where the thesis is set and the pipeline is built: on-market, pre-market, and off-market, under your brand. A find is not an introduction. A find is a deal that can get done.

Step one

It starts with a written thesis

What you're buying and why, on paper, before you look at a single target.

Most owners start with a target and work backward to a rationale. That is how you end up owning something that does not fit.

The thesis comes first. What are you buying and why. What does the acquired company give you that you cannot build. Route density in a market you already serve. A crew you cannot hire. A customer list. A license. A piece of equipment that changes your cost position.

The thesis is written down because it disqualifies deals fast.

Most of the value of a written thesis is what it lets you say no to.

Step two

Then the target profile

The specific profile the thesis produces. Tight beats broad.

From the thesis comes a specific profile. Revenue band, geography, customer mix, owner situation, what the business must have and what disqualifies it immediately.

Tight profiles produce better deal flow than broad ones. When we go to a broker with “a CPA firm with five associates in the Carolinas,” we get real names, often pre-market owners who are not listed anywhere. When we go with “professional services, somewhere in the Southeast,” we get their public inventory.

Step three

Then the pipeline

The best deals never reach the market. The pipeline is built to reach them first.

Three sources, in order of preference.

Off-market, through relationships.

Brokers hold relationships with owners who are not ready to list. Those owners are pre-market: on a follow-up list somewhere, sometimes for years, not shopped and often not yet decided. When we bring a qualified, capitalized buyer with a specific mandate, that conversation changes. The broker gets a transaction that would not otherwise have happened, and you get a company bought off-market, before a competitive process could ever form.

Listed deals, structured properly.

Some buyers dismiss anything on the market as picked over. Picked over by whom. A deal that has been listed for six months is usually a structure problem, not a business problem, and it is the closest thing to an off-market deal that is still technically listed. Those are the ones where knowing how to structure a deal is worth the most.

Directed sourcing.

When the first two do not produce, we commission outbound against your specific profile to reach pre-market owners directly. We do not build a cold-calling operation. There are firms whose entire business is running that engine, and we would rather pay one of them than add another voice to the twelve emails a week your targets already get.

The boundary

What we do not do

We do not maintain an inventory of businesses for sale. That is a seller's business, and we do not represent sellers.

The rest of the function

  • Deal Structure. The consideration mix and the capital stack. The thesis tells you how to structure the deal it produced.
  • Due Diligence. Quality of earnings, legal, and operations, coordinated so nothing surfaces after the wire goes out.
  • Value Creation. Delivering the thesis and integrating the two companies, so the reason you bought actually shows up.
  • Fractional Corporate Development. How the four disciplines run as one function, so each deal makes the next easier.
  • Does the buyer need their own advisor?. The seller has a paid advisor running the sale; the buyer usually has no one. Why that asymmetry costs buyers on price and on whether the deal closes.
  • The eight inorganic moves in the trades. Every trades acquisition buys one of six assets: density, customers, revenue quality, people, supply, or a new map. The move menu the thesis chooses from.
  • Off-market and pre-market deals. What off-market and pre-market deals are, why they carry less competition and better terms, and how they actually get sourced.
  • Why brokered deals can be great deals. The listed deals other buyers dismiss are often a fixable structure problem, not a bad business.
  • Buying home services companies. The thesis that decides what to buy, and how owner-operators source and win deals against private equity platforms.

Start with a conversation.

Talk to Joe